Nhieu nguoi buoc chan vao the gioi ca cuoc bong da voi hy vong doi doi chi sau mot dem, nhung thuc te phu phang thuong la su that vong va chay tai khoan. Bi mat thuc su dang sau nhung nguoi choi thanh cong khong nam o may man hay thong tin noi bo, ma nam o viec ap dung cac chien thuat ca cuoc bong da ro rang va ky luat thep. Neu ban dang tim kiem mot lo trinh cu the de nang cao ty le thang va quan ly rui ro hieu qua, day chinh la noi ban can dung chan.

Keo nha cai luon la diem khoi dau, nhung de khai thac gia tri tu nhung con so do, chung ta can mot phuong phap tiep can co he thong. Viec hieu ro cach thuc hoat dong cua ty le keo khong chi giup ban dat cuoc thong minh hon ma con la nen tang de xay dung chien luoc ca cuoc dai han.

Xay Dung Nen Mong: Quan Ly Von (Bankroll Management)

Bat ke ban ap dung chien thuat nao, neu khong co quan ly von, ban chac chan se that bai. Day la nguyen tac co ban nhat, thuong bi nhung nguoi moi choi bo qua.

Chien thuat ro rang dau tien: Xac dinh tong so von ban san sang danh cho ca cuoc (von choi) va tuyet doi khong bao gio vuot qua gioi han nay. Sau do, chia nho so von nay thanh cac don vi cuoc (units).



* Quy tac Kelly Criterion (Phien ban gian luoc): Thay vi dung cong thuc phuc tap, hay ap dung nguyen tac 1-3% cho moi lan cuoc. Neu ban co 10 trieu dong tien von, moi lan cuoc chi nen dao dong tu 100.000 den 300.000 dong. Viec nay dam bao rang du ban co chuoi thua 5-7 tran lien tiep (dieu hoan toan co the xay ra), ban van con du von de cho doi co hoi tot hon.

Chien Thuat Phan Tich Sau: Vuot Ra Ngoai Ket Qua Cuoi Cung

Nhieu nguoi chi nhin vao doi thang/thua hoac ty so chung cuoc. Cac chuyen gia ca cuoc nhin sau hon vao cac chi so thong ke nang cao.

Chien thuat ro rang thu hai: Tap trung vao Expected Goals (xG) va Expected Goals Against (xGA).

xG do luong chat luong co hoi ma mot doi tao ra. Mot doi co xG cao nhung ty so thuc te thap co the la do kem may man hoac dut diem toi, va ho co kha nang se "hoi phuc" o cac tran tiep theo. Nguoc lai, mot doi thang sat nut voi xG thap co the dang gap may man va kho duy tri phong do do. Khi ty le keo nha cai dua ra muc chap dua tren thanh tich qua khu nhung bo qua xu huong xG hien tai, do la luc gia tri xuat hien.

Khai Thac Thi Truong Keo Phu (Value Betting)

Dung chi cham cham vao keo Chau A hay Tai Xiu. Nhung thi truong nay thuong co thanh khoan cao va ty le canh tranh gay gat, khien viec tim kiem loi the (edge) kho khan hon.

Chien thuat ro rang thu ba: Tim kiem gia tri o cac keo phu it nguoi choi quan tam.

Cac keo nhu phat goc, the phat, hoac cuoc cau thu ghi ban co xu huong it duoc cac nha cai lon dieu chinh lien tuc va co the phan anh sai lech ve mot khia canh cu the cua tran dau. Vi du, mot doi bi danh gia thap hon ve tong the nhung lai so huu nhung cau thu chay canh toc do, thuong dan den viec tao ra nhieu qua phat goc. Neu ban phan tich duoc dieu nay va tim thay keo phat goc co ty le hap dan, do chinh la luc ap dung chien thuat "Value Betting" – dat cuoc khi ban tin rang xac suat chien thang thuc te cao hon ty le ma nha cai dua ra.

Chien Thuat Di Theo Dong Chay: Ca Cuoc Truc Tiep (Live Betting)

Ca cuoc truc tiep la chien truong doi hoi toc do va su dut khoat, nhung no cung la noi de ban tan dung su thay doi dot ngot cua tam ly tran dau.

Chien thuat ro rang thu tu: Su dung su thay doi tam ly de dat cuoc nguoc (Contrarian Bet).

Khi mot doi manh bat ngo bi thung luoi som (vi du, trong 15 phut dau tien), ty le chap cua ho se tang len dang ke. Tuy nhien, neu doi hinh cua ho van manh va HLV co kha nang dieu chinh chien thuat tot, kha nang ho go hoa hoac lat nguoc tinh the la rat cao. Dat cuoc vao doi cua tren bi dan truoc khi ho dang bi ap luc tam ly la mot chien thuat mao hiem nhung mang lai loi nhuan cao neu ban du doan duoc su phuc hoi nhanh chong. Hay luon theo doi sat sao dien bien tran dau va khong bao gio cuoc Live ma khong xem truc tiep.

Ky Luat La Kim Chi Nam

Cuoi cung, moi chien thuat ca cuoc bong da ro rang deu tro nen vo nghia neu thieu ky luat.

Tranh xa tam ly go gac (chasing losses) sau khi thua cuoc. Khong bao gio cuoc qua so tien da quy dinh chi vi ban cam thay "chac chan" ve mot tran dau nao do. Thanh cong trong ca cuoc the thao khong phai la viec thang lon mot lan, ma la viec co ty le thang trung binh duong qua hang tram, tham chi hang nghin lan dat cuoc. Hay ghi chep lai moi giao dich, lich thi dau, phan tich ly do thang/thua, va lien tuc dieu chinh chien luoc cua minh dua tren du lieu thuc te. Day chinh la con duong ben vung nhat dan den loi nhuan lau dai tren moi nen tang ca cuoc.

Xem Them:

https://www.dideadesign.com/forum/topic/20684/hieu-ro-ty-le-keo-nha-cai-euro:-bi-quyet-du-doan-chuan-xac-cho-nguoi-me-bong-da

https://www.cemkrete.com/forum/topic/120609/ca-cuoc:-ranh-gioi-mo-nhat-giua-hop-phap-va-bat-hop-phap-tai-viet-nam

https://www.jk-green.com/forum/topic/77960/bi-quyet-ca-cuoc-thong-minh:-nhung-meo-hay-giup-ban-tang-ty-le-chien-thang